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US Signs Controversial Nuclear Deal with Saudi Arabia

· news

The Art of Giving Away Leverage

The latest development in the US-Saudi nuclear deal has left many wondering if President Trump’s administration is capable of negotiating effectively. The agreement, finalized last week, allows Saudi Arabia to develop a civilian nuclear program using American technology with little to no concessions from Riyadh.

This unprecedented deal has sparked concerns among lawmakers and diplomats, who argue it may enable uranium enrichment, providing Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) with the tools necessary to build a bomb. The fact that Trump’s administration signed off on this agreement without extracting meaningful commitments raises questions about US foreign policy under his presidency.

The old adage “give someone an inch and they’ll take a mile” seems particularly apt in this case, as the 30-year, multibillion-dollar agreement gives American companies a central role in developing Saudi Arabia’s nuclear infrastructure while shutting out foreign competitors. While this may benefit US industry workers and supply chains in the short term, it does little to address concerns about regional stability or Iran’s rising nuclear threat.

The Abraham Accords, which Trump invoked as a condition for normalizing relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, have been on the table for years. In fact, talks to flesh out the details were scheduled for mid-October 2023 before they unraveled due to the Gaza war. The notion that Trump’s administration is now imposing this precondition after the fact seems like a desperate attempt to salvage what appears to be a poorly negotiated deal.

Saudi Arabia’s government has been playing a long game, waiting for a more favorable outcome in US politics. With the 2024 election looming, they gambled on a Trump victory, which would bring more favorable terms. And it seems their gamble paid off. Trump’s relationship with MBS is well-documented, dating back to his first term when the two developed a close rapport through direct communication via WhatsApp.

This deal cements Saudi Arabia’s position as a key player in the Middle East while undermining efforts to contain Iran’s nuclear ambitions. The US providing nuclear cooperation without securing concessions on normalization or human rights raises concerns about long-term implications.

As Trump’s administration continues to navigate this agreement, it will be essential to monitor their handling of it. Will they continue to improvise and add sweeteners to placate Congress? Or will they maintain their commitment to Saudi Arabia despite growing criticism from lawmakers and diplomats alike? One thing is certain: the US has given away significant leverage in this agreement, and it remains to be seen whether Trump’s administration can recover from this mistake.

The nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia serves as a stark reminder of the limitations of US foreign policy under the current administration. By providing nuclear cooperation without securing concessions on normalization or human rights, the US has essentially handed over a key bargaining chip to Riyadh. This raises questions about long-term implications and whether it will ultimately benefit regional stability.

The close relationship between President Trump and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is well-documented, dating back to Trump’s first term. Their direct communication via WhatsApp has been a key factor in the success of Saudi Arabia’s diplomatic efforts. However, this relationship also raises concerns about the influence of personal relationships over national interests.

The Abraham Accords have been touted as a major achievement for US foreign policy under Trump. However, their implementation has been slow and contentious. The fact that the US is now invoking these accords as a condition for normalizing relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia raises questions about their true significance in regional dynamics.

As we move forward, it will be essential to monitor how Trump’s administration handles this deal. Will they continue to improvise and add sweeteners to placate Congress? Or will they maintain their commitment to Saudi Arabia despite growing criticism from lawmakers and diplomats alike? The answer to these questions will have significant implications for regional stability and US foreign policy.

Reader Views

  • CM
    Columnist M. Reid · opinion columnist

    The nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia is less about strategic diplomacy than calculated opportunism. While the administration's defenders might argue that this agreement will help contain Iran's nuclear ambitions by offering Riyadh a non-proliferation carrot on a stick, they're overlooking the fact that Tehran's regional influence is largely tied to its domestic politics rather than Saudi Arabia's nuclear capabilities. In reality, this deal may inadvertently embolden MBS to pursue his own regional agenda, while creating an even more complicated web of alliances and rivalries in the Middle East.

  • EK
    Editor K. Wells · editor

    While the nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia is undoubtedly alarming, it's worth considering another factor: Iran's likely response. Given the agreement's emphasis on civilian uses of nuclear technology, Riyadh will now be in a better position to counter Tehran's growing influence. However, this might also embolden Iran to accelerate its own nuclear development, creating a precarious regional dynamic. It's possible that Trump's administration is attempting to create a strategic imbalance, but at what cost?

  • CS
    Correspondent S. Tan · field correspondent

    The US-Saudi nuclear deal has been shrouded in controversy from the start, but what's equally disturbing is the lack of consideration for regional security dynamics. The agreement allows Saudi Arabia to pursue a civilian nuclear program with American technology, yet doesn't address Iran's rising threat or Riyadh's history of clandestine nuclear ambitions. We're told that this deal will bolster US industry, but what about its implications for the Gulf Cooperation Council? Will it create a nuclear imbalance in the region, emboldening Saudi Arabia and potentially destabilizing regional alliances?

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